Four scenarios for a world in disorder 一个混乱世界的四种情景



https://theconversation.com/four-scenarios-for-a-world-in-disorder-193132?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Latest+from+The+Conversation+for+October+26+2022+-+2440524417&utm_content=Latest+from+The+Conversation+for+October+26+2022+-+2440524417+CID_8b060758ab51c82f11a1a2fe2344b9f0&utm_source=campaign_monitor_uk&utm_term=Four+scenarios+for+a+world+in+disorder

  1. Russia’s war in Ukraine
  2. US-China relations
  3. Populism
  4. Inflation

1.俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争
2.美中关系
3.民粹主义
4.通货膨胀

hinese leader Xi Jinping’s recent speech to the Communist Party Congress could be one of the most consequential of the decade. He told the audience – and the world – that his economic growth-crushing zero-COVID policy is here to stay, and that Beijing is more determined than ever to reunify with Taiwan, peacefully if possible and by force if necessary.

We are living in a moment of deep geopolitical rifts and extraordinary economic uncertainty, epitomised by Xi’s pronouncements. The world is clearly not reverting to some pre-COVID status quo. Instead, a combination of underlying forces has upended the previous world order and ushered in a period of profound disorder.

中国国家领导人习近平最近在中共代表大会上的讲话可能是十年来最有影响的讲话之一。 他告诉观众——以及全世界——他的经济增长压垮的零COVID政策将持续下去,北京比以往任何时候都更加决心与台湾实现和平统一,如果可能的话,如果必要的话,将以武力实现统一。

我们生活在一个地缘政治裂痕深重、经济异常不确定性的时刻,习近平的声明就是明证。 世界显然没有恢复到新冠肺炎之前的状态。 相反,基础力量的组合颠覆了前一个世界秩序,并进入了一个严重的混乱时期。

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